2017 Outlook: For the first time in five years, Harden's TS% dipped below 60-percent, but he was able to produce for his fantasy owners by leading the league in minutes played (38.1 per game) for the first time in his career. He has missed just one game over the last two seasons, a level of health that when combined with the fact that his FGA per game jumped by nearly nine-percent for the second consecutive season and his rebound/assist totals rose again makes him nothing short of elite in our game.
2017 Outlook: The 2009-2010 regular season saw the Lakers and Magic finish as two of the three teams to win over 55 games. It's been a while. That was also the last time Westbrook finished as anything other than a Top 3 player in USG. Not sure if you've heard, but Kevin Durant is no longer in Oklahoma City and Westbrook is entering the final year of his contract.
2017 Outlook: The lasting taste in your mouth is probably a negative one after a disappointing NBA Finals performance, but don't be blinded by the most recent events. Curry's FGA attempts spiked last season, resulting in him averaging 26.5-percent more points per game than his MVP 2014 season. The best part? The scoring bump didn't cut into his other counting stats, as he actually averaged more rebounds-plus-assists than a season ago.
2017 Outlook: The upside here isn't that of some of the younger point guards that the NBA is littered with, but his high floor is appealing in the early rounds and will allow you to roll the dice in the middle rounds. Over the last three season, CP3 is averaging 19.2 points, 10.3 assists, and 2.12 steals ... numbers that essentially mirror what each individual season has looked like. Without Blake Griffin for the majority of the season, Paul's efficiency dropped a bit, yet he still finished fifth on our player rater. There is next to zero downside with the veteran point guard and one could argue that a healthy Griffin makes him worthy of first round consideration.
2017 Outlook: The Bucks appear willing to tie their wagon to Antetokunmpo and, while it'll cost you an early pick, you should be willing to as well. The 2015 numbers are appealing, but look at his numbers after the All Star Break (18.8 points, 7.2 assists, 8.6 rebounds, 1.9 blocks, and 1.4 steals) and you're looking at a 21-year-old that is nearly impossible to matchup with. This Milwaukee offense is going to be a work in progress as Jason Kidd tries to figure out exactly what he wants, but there is no lack of room for growth (bottom 10 in both pace and offensive efficiency) and it is clear that Antetokunmpo is clearly the building block.
2017 Outlook: On a monthly basis, few fill it up like Dame DOLLA. Coming into the 2015-2016 season, Lillard had never averaged more than 23 points and at least 6.2 dimes in a single regular season month (minimum two games played). But that was then and this is now. Lillard will enter the 2016-2017 season having reached those thresholds in six consecutive qualifying months and that level of volume doesn't appear to be going anywhere. One minor concern for H2H owners: Lillard failed to shoot over 50-percent from inside of eight feet for the third time in four professional seasons. It's nitpicking, but it will result in the occasional stinker and that really hurts in a weekly format.
2017 Outlook: The Raptors leader is the only point guard to rank as a Top 5 player at the position in rebounds per game in each of the last three seasons, a nice advantage Lowry owners hold while they chase the increase in scoring efficiency that we saw last season (his TS% jumped from 52.7-percent in 2014 to 57.8-percent last season). The Raptors were the second best team in the Eastern Conference last regular season by relying heavily on Lowry (only James Harden played more minutes per game) and it is hard to imagine the game plan being any different in 2016.
2017 Outlook: It's coming. In his first three seasons, Wall had one season where he shot under 41-percent from the field, another season where he shot 7.1-percent from distance, and another season where he missed 33 games. Over the last three seasons, however, his limitless talent has been rewarding fantasy owners. His assist-to-turnover ratio is up 14.6-percent from his first three seasons and while the three-point shooting isn't exactly a strength, he has developed it enough for it to be of use to fantasy owners. He tallied a double-double in 12 of his last 13 games, a stretch that hints at the upside that is possible here if Bradley Beal can stay on the court.
2017 Outlook: By averaging over 27 points and knocking down the clinching shot in the NBA Finals, Irving reminded everyone of just how much he is capable of. He's still just 24 years of age and one would assume that we have yet to see his best. LeBron James is capable of dominating in spurts, but with the object of the regular season being to save the legs of their future Hall-of-Famer, look for the Cavaliers to continue to rely on Irving. If he can regain his regular season efficiency of 2014, Irving has the potential to be the best Tier 2 point guard, but the injury concerns will suppress his value a touch.
2017 Outlook: Walker is a very good point guard on an improving Hornets team, but where does he excel? Ranking 13th in 3PM in 2015 was a nice value boost, but as a career 33.4-percent bomber in the NBA (a number that is actually better than his college rate of 32.6-percent), are we positive that the volume is going to continue to be there? He ranked behind Tony Parker in assists per game and while his near 21 points a night is nice, don't forget that there were eight other point guards who poured in better than 18.5 points a night. His volume in Charlotte continues to be there, but with a consistently unspectacular USG, he should be considered the head of Tier 2 point guards as opposed to a threat to join Tier 1.
2017 Outlook: The Celtics gave him the keys to the car in 2015 after acquiring him the previous winter and he thrived. Thomas was one of six players (Russell Westbrook, James Harden, LeBron James, Damian Lillard, and Kyle Lowry being the others) that gave you six FTA and six assists a night, a nice skill set that indicates both aggression and finesse. He made more triples per game than Bradley Beal last year, just another sign that he is the entire offensive package. We didn't see a single point guard average 24 points and seven assists last season, a stat line that is well within reach for this budding star.
2017 Outlook: Professional. Bucket. Getter. The Blazers may not be built to win a title, but the volume their offense lends to their starting backcourt is fantasy gold. McCollum and Damian Lillard combined to take 2,905 shots in 155 games (18.74 per player per game), not much different than the Splash Brothers rate (18.77). Speaking of those warriors, both Curry and Thompson attempted over 450 triples and converted over 40-percent on those tries. So did McCollum. And that's the entire such list in the NBA last season. The addition of Evan Turner could help his assist numbers, but make no mistake about it: McCollum was put on this planet to score. Consider him Kemba Walker with a wider range of potential outcomes (for better or for worse).
2017 Outlook: With basketball fans more than excited about the 19-year-old Devin Booker (19.2 points and 4.1 assists following the All Star Break) and Bledsoe's name a bit off the radar as a result of injury, now is the time to pounce at a discount.
2017 Outlook: Tyler Johnson is going to be a solid player, but with the departure of Dwyane Wade, there is no denying that this backcourt now belongs to Dragic. The year-end numbers don't tell the whole story for his first season in Miami, as Dragic improved as the season wore on. His scoring increased with each month as he got comfortable in a new offense with a new role. Since January 1st, he shot 49.2-percent from the field and handed out 6.2 assists per game. Look for substantial growth in USG (he tied for 29th among PGs while Wade ranked fifth among all guards) which should directly correlate to his fantasy value.
2017 Outlook: The Bulls ranked among the 10 worst offenses in terms of 3PM and the jump-shooting ability of this team didn't improve this offseason with the additions of Rondo and Dwyane Wade. The ability to space the floor could cap Rondo's upside, as driving lanes will be more difficult to come by, but with Wade and Jimmy Butler demanding defensive attention, it stands to reason that Rondo could average double digit assists for the sixth time in his career. The percentages are ugly, but his volume of attempts isn't going to kill you. His concrete skill set (plus-rebounds for being a guard along with his elite assist/steal totals) makes him the type of player you have to know that you are targeting, as you'll have to draft accordingly beforehand.