2017 Outlook: The list of players that averaged two 3PM to go along with at least five rebounds and five assists is a short one: the top three players on our player rater (Curry, Harden, and Durant) and Batum. This was the first time Batum had pull those three stats together in one season, but the signs were there that this production was coming. His defensive numbers were down a touch, leaving room for even more value. He ranked just 19th among shooting guards in USG, but the Hornets now have some 120 million reasons to up that rate sooner rather than later.
2017 Outlook: We know exactly what DeRozan is: a volume producer. His lack of a three point shot is an obstacle (65 shooting guards averaged more 3PM last season), but with most owners in standard sized leagues having a more than capable three point shooter rostered after the first two rounds, DeRozan's primary fantasy wart can be overlooked in the right situation. He averaged at least one steal and better than eight rebounds-plus-assists for a third consecutive season, allowing him to gain some value other than the 20-plus points you know you're getting from him.
2017 Outlook: Can you name all of the qualified players who made at least two three pointers per game at a 40-percent clip and did not play in the NBA Finals? C.J. McCollum , J.J. Redick, and Fournier. The points and percentages are a given, but the ceiling has yet to be explored. We are looking at a 23-year-old with four years of experience that will be tasked will filling the void left by the departure of nearly 32 points and 25 FGA this offseason (Tobias Harris and Victor Oladipo). Sure, the Magic added some front court talent to help, but Fournier is primed to lead this backcourt and have his best fantasy season to date.
2017 Outlook: In a season in which his FG%, 3P%, FTA, AST, BLK, and STL averages all fell (albeit slightly in most cases), Hayward still managed to finish the 2015 season fourth among SGs on our player rater. That speaks to both the lack of depth at the position and Hayward's ability to provide strong value across the board, the exact reason you should feel good with him in the early rounds. The Jazz upgraded to George Hill at point guard and brought in Joe Johnson, moves that should help free up Hayward on the perimeter (the percentage of his FGA that have been uncontested has steadily be declining).
2017 Outlook: Tyler Johnson is going to be a solid player, but with the departure of Dwyane Wade, there is no denying that this backcourt now belongs to Dragic. The year-end numbers don't tell the whole story for his first season in Miami, as Dragic improved as the season wore on. His scoring increased with each month as he got comfortable in a new offense with a new role. Since January 1st, he shot 49.2-percent from the field and handed out 6.2 assists per game. Look for substantial growth in USG (he tied for 29th among PGs while Wade ranked fifth among all guards) which should directly correlate to his fantasy value.
2017 Outlook: The Bulls ranked among the 10 worst offenses in terms of 3PM and the jump-shooting ability of this team didn't improve this offseason with the additions of Rondo and Dwyane Wade. The ability to space the floor could cap Rondo's upside, as driving lanes will be more difficult to come by, but with Wade and Jimmy Butler demanding defensive attention, it stands to reason that Rondo could average double digit assists for the sixth time in his career. The percentages are ugly, but his volume of attempts isn't going to kill you. His concrete skill set (plus-rebounds for being a guard along with his elite assist/steal totals) makes him the type of player you have to know that you are targeting, as you'll have to draft accordingly beforehand.
2017 Outlook: This Pacers offense is going to be a good one and Teague figures to be a big part of it. The improved touch from distance that he showed last season (a career-best 40-percent three-point shooting on a career-high 3.5 attempts per game) is encouraging and the multitude of scoring options in Indiana should allow the 6.7 assists that he has averaged over the last four seasons to at least be sustained. The durability (17 missed games over the last five seasons) is a nice bonus and just continues to raise the production floor for this 28 year old.
2017 Outlook: Schroder has only made 16 starts in three seasons, but it is clear that the Hawks are sold on him as they traded away Jeff Teague and did not receive a guard in return. Before Schroder established himself as a force in 2014, Teague averaged over 32 minutes in three straight seasons as Atlanta's primary ball handler. We don't have a ton to go on, but if you project Schroder's career numbers over 32 minutes per game, you're looking at a very nice 15.6-point, 6.5-assist, and 3.7-rebound stat line with 1.2 3PM and 1.2 steals. Those numbers made Mike Conley the highest paid player in NBA history, and while it's not an elite fantasy line, it's a very solid one that comes with plenty of potential.
2017 Outlook: The 2016-2017 Wolves might be the most fun Minnesota franchise since the Daunte Culpepper/Randy Moss days and Wiggins is the leader of the pack. Despite a slight dip in minutes played, Wiggins managed to attempt more shots and convert them at a higher percentage. You have to love the bump in free throw attempts (he made 5.3 per game after attempting 5.7 per game in his rookie season) and the scoring stability that comes with that. He is going to score and produce highlight reel plays with regularity, but his otherwise pedestrian numbers leave fantasy owners wanting more. With plenty of talent around him, statistical growth is very possible in all categories, but paying for much growth over his 2015 numbers is a risk.
2017 Outlook: The Lakers have a pair volume scoring guards that will come off the bench, but they will enter 2016 relying heavily on their young backcourt duo of Russell and Jordan Clarkson. Russell averaged 34.4 last April, as the Lakers aimed to get him as much exposure as they could at the end of the season. If you project his rookie numbers for 34.4 minutes per game, you're looking at 16 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 3PM, and 1.5 steals per game. Now, it's not safe to simply project identical production forward, but Steph Curry and James Harden were the only two players to reach all of those thresholds last season. The upside is enticing as this young Lakers improves ... or tries to play from behind as they possessed the least efficient defense in basketball last season.
2017 Outlook: Hopefully you benefited from his second half run (19.2 points, 1.5 3PM, 4.1 assists, and 3.0 rebounds), because you're not getting him at a discount this year. Just because the price has risen significantly doesn't mean you need to avoid him. He doesn't turn 20 years old until after this season begins and is a gifted athlete that stands 6'6", giving him unlimited upside. The Suns do have backcourt depth (namely Brandon Knight but they also spent a second round pick on Tyler Ulis), but they are going to give Booker every opportunity to prove he is a franchise cornerstone. Will there be inconsistencies? Likely, but that shouldn't temper your expectations for this exciting Suns backcourt.
2017 Outlook: The Grizzlies paid top dollar for Conley's consistency, will you? He's been as rock solid as any point guard over the last five years, but few seem willing to acknowledge that there has actually been some recent growth. His top three seasons in terms of per game 3PM, FTA, and points have come in the last three seasons, not bad for a point guard who doesn't turn 29 until mid-October. His league leading assist-to-turnover ratio (4.07) last season speaks to a level of efficiency that figures to translate to the standard ESPN scoring categories. Take advantage of those his consistency to chase upside early in your draft and cover yourself with numbers you can count on in Conley.
2017 Outlook: What exactly are you paying for here? He's more valuable in real life than he is in fantasy these days, and while he could experience a fantasy revival in Chicago, it's a risky investment. He offers you nothing from the three point line (Richaunb Holmes made more triples last season) and per game point-plus-assist total was his lowest since his rookie season. Wade still offers reasonable counting numbers to go along with above average defense stats, just be careful to not overpay for the name brand.
2017 Outlook: Devin Booker's are closer than they may appear. It's no secret that the younger of the two Kentucky products showed more promise last season than Knight has in his five NBA seasons, thus making him the favorite to assume the starting backcourt role alongside Eric Bledsoe. Knight is more than capable of scoring in bunches and his usage should receive a nice bump if he's on the second unit, so don't rule out a useful fantasy season, just don't overpay for the name.