2016 Outlook: A 2015 third-round pick, Johnson began his career pushing Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington for snaps before taking a star turn in the fantasy playoffs. In Weeks 13 through 17, Johnson racked up 658 yards and five TDs on 107 touches, which easily made him fantasy's top-scoring RB during that stretch. He averaged a healthy 4.6 ypc, including 2.3 after contact (fifth best among RBs). He also has great value in PPR leagues--Johnson caught 15 passes in Arizona's two playoff games. Now the clear lead back in Arizona's high-scoring attack, he carries the high floor and high ceiling you want in a first-round pick.
2016 Outlook: Injuries before and during the season--hamstring, knee, fingers--quelled optimism for a fourth-year breakout and led to another pedestrian campaign for Floyd. He ended up 32nd among WRs in fantasy points, but he did manage six top-25 finishes during his 15 games. At 26, Floyd now enters a contract year. He carries some risk and will compete for Carson Palmer's attention with Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown, but it's not out of the question for him to emerge as the No. 1 receiver in Arizona's high-scoring offense. He has the high ceiling you want in your third receiver.
2016 Outlook: After failing to reach 1,000 yards for three straight seasons, Fitzgerald bounced back to finish 10th among WRs in fantasy points last year. Look closer, though, and 2015 resembles two distinct seasons for Fitz. Through the first five weeks, he ranked first among WRs in fantasy points on the strength of 35 receptions, 490 yards and six TDs. After, he had 74 catches for 725 yards and three TDs, which left him 34th. Fitzgerald is 33, and while he should remain a fantasy starter, he likely won't repeat his WR1 performance, with David Johnson, Michael Floyd and John Brown taking on increased work.
2016 Outlook: Brown has emerged as one of the league's most explosive deep threats, posting a top-10 average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. Despite being used in a boom-or-bust role, he was more consistent than you might expect. Brown managed only one top-10 week among WRs but placed inside the top 30 in two-thirds of his appearances (tied for ninth among WRs). For the season, he finished in the top 30 in targets, receptions, yardage and TDs. Still on the rise at age 26 and blessed with 4.3 speed, Brown should put together another WR3 campaign.
2016 Outlook: Palmer experienced his best fantasy finish (fifth) since 2006, making him one of last season's top comeback stories. Leaning heavily on Arizona's talented wide receiver unit, Palmer posted a league-high 10.9-yard average depth of target. Not surprisingly, Palmer also topped all QBs with 8.7 yards per attempt and 13.7 yards per completion. Palmer does enter 2016 with a pair of concerns, though. First, his ceiling isn't as high as that of other top QBs: He managed a top-10 fantasy week in only 44 percent of his appearances, tied for 10th at the position. Second, Palmer is now 36, which makes him a candidate for statistical regression. Even with a small drop-off, Palmer should maintain his QB1 status.
2016 Outlook: The Cardinals have become a reliable D/ST, having finished no worse than 13th in fantasy points over the past six seasons. That includes last year's third-place ranking, when they led the league in non-offensive TDs (seven) and forced fumbles (22). With Calais Campbell, Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu leading the way, they also ranked among the top five teams in interceptions, fumble recoveries and yards allowed. Newcomers Chandler Jones and Tyvon Branch add firepower to a unit that should start strong against the (Tom Brady'less) Patriots, Buccaneers, Bills, Rams and 49ers.
2016 Outlook: Johnson ranked 15th among RBs in fantasy points before breaking his leg in Week 12. That ended his season as well as his run as Arizona's starting running back; that job now belongs to David Johnson. Much of Chris Johnson's success last year was based on volume--he had the fourth-most carries in the league through the first 11 weeks. Still, he scored just three TDs and was targeted only 12 times in the passing game. If healthy, Johnson could be in the mix for some early-down carries, but that won't be enough to earn flex consideration.
2016 Outlook: Ellington has had several opportunities to emerge as Arizona's top RB since being drafted in the sixth round in 2013, but injuries have derailed his progress. Now those opportunities are all but gone: David Johnson has emerged as the Cardinals' clear starter, and Chris Johnson will also limit Ellington's playing time. Ellington actually played well in a small sample of work last season, averaging 6.4 yards per carry and 9.9 yards per reception. But he should see only occasional change-of-pace snaps this season and is worth attention only in deep leagues.