2016 Outlook: Robinson was a popular breakout candidate in 2015, and boy did he live up to the hype. In just his second season, he tied for the league lead with 14 touchdowns, and his 1,400 receiving yards ranked sixth in the NFL. Blake Bortles looked for him often near the goal line, as Robinson caught an NFL-high 11 end zone targets. But he also proved to be a major deep threat--he posted the seventh-highest average depth of target (15.3 yards) among WRs and the sixth-highest yards per reception (17.5). TD regression should be expected, but Robinson is only 23 and a rising star in Jacksonville's emerging offense.
2016 Outlook: After rushing for 740 yards as a rookie, Yeldon looked like a breakout candidate for 2016. Then Jacksonville signed Chris Ivory as a free agent to put a damper on that outlook. Still, there are reasons to like Yeldon. He touched the ball 218 times in the 12 weeks he was healthy, and he ranked 11th among RBs in fantasy points during that span. He had only three TDs, but that total was depressed by the Jaguars' unusually high rate of scoring by the pass (88 percent). He should find the end zone more this season and projects as an excellent midround target with upside.
2016 Outlook: Ivory is fresh off a career year in which he busted loose for 1,287 yards from scrimmage and eight TDs on 277 touches. But he's moving from a primary role with the Jets to a situation in Jacksonville where he will split carries with T.J. Yeldon. Ivory, 28, is more experienced and a better blocker than the 22-year-old Yeldon, and since he entered the league, Ivory's 4.6 ypc ranks ninth among the 49 RBs with 500-plus carries. But Yeldon is the same size, plays a similar game and is a superior receiver. Even if Ivory ends up as the leader of that tag-team backfield, his fantasy upside will be limited by Yeldon's presence.
2016 Outlook: Hurns was one of the more improbable breakout players in 2015. He ranked among the top 10 WRs five times (tied for fifth in the league), which helped him finish 14th in fantasy points at his position. Hurns dropped only one pass all season, and he was one of 10 WRs who scored at least 10 TDs. Jacksonville should be healthier--and better--on offense and likely will rely on the running game more than it did a year ago, so that could cost Hurns both targets and TDs. But he is only 24 years old, stands 6-foot-3 and plays nearly every down for an emerging offense. That's a lot to like.
2016 Outlook: Believe it or not, Bortles had the fourth-most QB fantasy points last season. But before you slot him in as an automatic QB1 for 2016, consider some key factors. Bortles was tied for second in the NFL with 35 TDs, but he also led the league with 18 interceptions. Jacksonville called pass plays 68 percent of the time (second in the NFL) and scored 88 percent of its offensive TDs through the air, so it's likely his TD passes will regress. His completion percentage declined ever so slightly from his rookie year, but that probably was just the result of throwing deep more often. Still, Bortles has a strong cadre of receiving options and also picks up points with his legs. Even if he remains inefficient in some areas, Bortles should flirt with QB1 numbers in his third season.
2016 Outlook: Injuries have plagued thomas throughout his career, but he's been a strong fantasy asset when active. After a four-year stint in Denver, thomas signed with Jacksonville last year. His production was inconsis.tent, but after missing the first four weeks with a hand injury, thomas ranked 12th among TEs in fantasy points the rest of the way. He handled roughly seven targets per game in an improving offense, making him a solid TE1 option with upside. If healthy, he's a good bet to improve on his 2015 TD total of five, especially with Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns (24 combined scores) inevitably headed for regression.
2016 Outlook: The Jaguars received a massive influx of talent on D in the offseason by signing Prince Amukamara, Tashaun Gipson and Malik Jackson and drafting Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack. Plus, the Jaguars will have the services of Dante Fowler, who missed his rookie year with a torn ACL after the Jaguars took him with the third pick in the 2015 draft. But the Jaguars are young and still have glaring holes, and Ramsey's knee must be healthy. Plus, they face a tough slate early, with games against the Chargers, Ravens and Colts. Given those concerns, they aren't worth drafting, even though they are headed in the right direction.