2017 Outlook: Considering that he missed his entire age-30 season with a torn ACL, it was fair to wonder just how effective Nelson would be in 2016. It turns out the answer was 'very,' as Nelson caught 97 passes for 1,257 yards and 14 touchdowns en route to finishing second among wide receivers in fantasy points. Nelson's seven top-10 fantasy weeks were second-most at the position and he finished 35th or better during all but two of his 16 outings. Nelson has finished second, third, 13th and fourth during the past four seasons in which he's appeared in all 16 games. He scored 13-plus touchdowns during three of those campaigns. Nelson's age (32) is enough to knock him down a few spots, but he's still a quality target near the first/second-round turn.
2017 Outlook: Green Bay's third-round pick in 2015, Montgomery converted to running back during the 2016 season, which seems like a smart move, considering his level of success. He impressed by averaging 5.9 YPC and 3.3 yards after contact, both of which were tops in the NFL. Montgomery is unlikely to emerge as a workhorse, especially after the team selected tailbacks Jamaal Williams, Aaron Jones and Devante Mays in April's draft, but his strong play suggests he'll at least remain busy as part of a committee. He's a fine flex target.
2017 Outlook: This time last year, it was fair to wonder if Adams was a bust, following an injury-plagued and underwhelming 2015 in which he barely caught half of the balls thrown his way and averaged a horrific 5.4 yards per target (second worst). A healthy Adams changed the conversation pretty quickly by exploding into fantasy's ninth-highest-scoring wideout in his third pro season. Adams absolutely benefited from Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' pass-heavy, high-volume offense; his 16 end zone targets were fifth-most and helped him to 12 touchdowns (second most). Adams, who ranked 22nd at the position in targets, is a near-lock for touchdown regression to the mean, but he's only 24 years old and an every-down player in one of the game's best pass offenses.
2017 Outlook: Fantasy's reigning top-scoring quarterback is coming off a season in which he threw for 4,428 yards, ran for a career-high 369 yards and had a hand in 44 touchdowns. Rodgers finished in the top five of the league in pass attempts, completions, passing yards and touchdowns. The Packers won't be as obscenely reliant on the pass in 2017, but this remains a pass-first offense that added Martellus Bennett to a unit that also includes Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and Davante Adams. Rodgers has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback during seven of the past nine seasons and is the best bet to top the charts in 2017.
2017 Outlook: Cobb is only 26 years old and a top-three target in Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers-led offense, but he simply can't be trusted as any more than a flex after two consecutive disappointing seasons. Cobb finished eighth among wide receivers in fantasy points in 2014, but fell to 26th in 2015 and 52nd (in 13 games) last season. Cobb has posted two top-10 fantasy weeks over the past two seasons. Cobb's efficiency has been fine -- he caught 74 percent of his targets (ranking eighth) and averaged 6.0 yards after the catch (ninth) last year -- but his role (6.5-yard average depth of target) limited him to a career-low 10.2 yards per catch (10th lowest). Downgrade Green Bay's slot receiver slightly in non-PPR.
2017 Outlook: After posting back-to-back top-eight fantasy campaigns, Crosby has finished 16th or worse each of the past two years. Volume and efficiency are both culprits. Crosby totaled 70 field goal attempts during the 2013 and 2014 seasons, but 58 during the past two years. He ranks first in field goal attempts (328), but 36th in conversion rate (80.5 percent) among 41 kickers who have at least 100 attempts since he entered the league in 2007. Crosby is not a very good kicker, but Green Bay's strong offense has allowed him seven top-12 fantasy seasons, including six top-nine, during the past 10 years. You could do much worse at the position.
2017 Outlook: The Packers' defense struggled last season, which led their D/ST to only its second finish of 20th or worse over the past decade. Green Bay allowed the 12th-most points (388), 11th-most yards (5,823) and ranked 27th in forced fumbles (27). On the plus side, the Packers ranked top-nine in interceptions (17) for the ninth time in 10 years and top-10 in sacks (40) for the fifth consecutive year. Micah Hyde, Datone Jones and Julius Peppers are gone, while Kevin King, Ricky Jean Francois and Davon House were added to the mix. Mike Daniels, Morgan Burnett and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix provide some star power, but this is a defense with several holes.