2017 Outlook: Taylor is back in Buffalo after a bizarre offseason that kicked off with a Week 17 benching. The Bills, of course, made the right decision to retain Taylor following a second consecutive standout season. Taylor's accuracy isn't great (off target on 20.2 percent of his throws last season), but he also had to deal with a poor supporting cast that created 4.2 yards after the catch (fourth lowest) and contributed to him being the league's most-sacked QB (42). Taylor more than makes up for suspect accuracy with his exceptional rushing ability; he paced all quarterbacks in carries, rushing yards and rushing scores last season. Taylor finished 13 of his 15 outings ranked 17th or better at the position in fantasy points. The loss of Sammy Watkins hurts, but Taylor's legs should help him sustain borderline top-10 fantasy production.
2017 Outlook: Dalton can't seem to be able to put together consecutive strong fantasy seasons, but a lot of his 2016 woes can be traced to forces out of his control. The Bengals changed offensive coordinators, overhauled the receiving corps behind A.J. Green, and Gio Bernard, Tyler Eifert and Green combined to miss 20 games. Dalton still managed to finish 12th at the position in fantasy points. He threw a career-low 18 touchdowns, but rushed for a career-high 184 yards and four touchdowns. Dalton was more conservative, more accurate and cut down even further on interceptions. He is a prime bounce-back candidate, especially following the additions of John Ross and Joe Mixon, but figures to max out as a streaming option.
2017 Outlook: Wentz was fairly impressive by rookie quarterback standards, but he was far from a quality fantasy asset. He posted one top-10 fantasy week, finished 18th or worse 10 times and ended the year 24th at the position, which was lowest among passers who appeared in all 16 games. Wentz completed 62 percent of his passes, but dealt with 31 drops (second most). Wentz's 6.2 yards per attempt was fourth lowest in the league, but his horrendous supporting cast generated 4.8 yards after the catch (seventh lowest). With Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith added to a unit that also includes Jordan Matthews and Zach Ertz, Wentz's arsenal is now NFL caliber. He's an obvious candidate for a second-year leap.
2017 Outlook: Manning has started 199 consecutive games tracing back to midway through his rookie season in 2004. Despite all that volume, Manning finished better than 10th at the position in fantasy points once during the past decade (2011). In what was a very disappointing 2016 season, he finished 21st for the second time in four years. Despite his receivers generating 5.3 yards after the catch (ninth most), Manning's yards per attempt dipped to 6.7 (ninth lowest). He managed a grand total of two top-10 fantasy weeks. Manning's 2017 prospects are helped by the additions of Brandon Marshall and Evan Engram, but it's hard to trust a 36-year-old quarterback coming off one of his worst seasons in an offense that finished 23rd in touchdowns.
2017 Outlook: Following an explosive 2015 campaign, Palmer unsurprisingly came back to earth in 2016, but he was better than he's given credit for. In fact, the Arizona offense averaged 3.0 touchdowns per game, which was sixth highest in the NFL and only a slight step down from 2015 (3.1). Palmer's efficiency was down across the board, but some of that can be traced to John Brown's health issues and Michael Floyd's various struggles. Palmer, now 37, is entering what might be his final NFL season, but with an improved and healthier supporting cast that includes superstar David Johnson, he's a sneaky bet for a top-10 campaign.
2017 Outlook: Seemingly out of nowhere, Baltimore decided to roll with one of the league's pass-heaviest offenses last season. It led to Flacco easily posting career highs in pass attempts (672) and passing yards (4,317). Still, Flacco struggled to a 20-to-15 TD/INT mark and finished 20th at the position in fantasy points, his worst finish in a season in which he played 16 games. In fact, his best season-long finish is 10th (2010). Flacco's accuracy was solid last season (15.5 percent off-target rate), but he was very conservative (7.4 average depth of throw) and averaged fewer than 6.8 yards per attempt for the second straight year. He is a back-end QB2 with little upside.
2017 Outlook: Bradford is giving Alex Smith a run for his money as the league's most-conservative quarterback. Bradford's 6.4 average depth of throw was lowest in the NFL last season and he's ranked near the basement of the league in the category during each of his past three seasons. Bradford made up for some of the conservative play with terrific accuracy last season. He completed an NFL-record 71.6 percent of his throws, was off target on 12 percent (third best) and was intercepted only five times. Bradford's supporting cast is actually pretty solid (Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, Kyle Rudolph, Dalvin Cook and potentially Laquon Treadwell), but his conservative play, shaky durability and lack of rushing production will again limit him to fringe QB2 numbers.
2017 Outlook: Bortles has posted back-to-back top-nine fantasy campaigns, but it's hard to recommend a player who has been so reliant on volume and struggled so badly with efficiency. Compared to his breakout 2015 campaign, Bortles actually attempted 19 more passes in 2016, but threw for 523 fewer yards and tossed 12 fewer touchdowns. He completed 59 percent of his passes for the third straight season (sixth worst), was off target on 19 percent of his throws (ninth worst) and averaged 6.2 yards per attempt (fifth worst). Bortles was a top-10 fantasy quarterback during 63 percent of his starts in 2015, but only 25 percent in 2016. The Jaguars' much-improved defense and the addition of Leonard Fournette is only going to limit Bortles' volume, making him a good bet for a dip in fantasy production in 2017.
2017 Outlook: Say what you want about Hoyer's inconsistent and erratic play, but he was relatively effective on 200 attempts with Chicago last season. Hoyer threw six TDs and no picks and completed 67 percent of his passes (eighth best). In fact, during the past two seasons, Hoyer has thrown 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 569 attempts. He hasn't played enough to generate consistent fantasy production, but he did average an 11th-place weekly finish during four full games last season. Hoyer is the favorite to be under center for San Francisco come Week 1, but the leash will be short and the supporting cast is not very good.
2017 Outlook: The face of conservative quarterback play, Smith has been among the bottom five in average depth of throw during each of the past eight seasons. That includes a 6.7 mark in 2016 that was higher than only Sam Bradford's. Smith's conservative play leads to high completion percentages, low interception totals and lots of post-catch help, but it also severely limits his fantasy production. Smith has never finished a season better than 13th at the position in fantasy points and was 22nd in 2016. Those in two-quarterback leagues shouldn't ignore Smith's shaky durability; he's missed at least one game during four of the past five years. Smith is a fringe QB2 with little upside, and whose leash is shorter than ever after the team traded up to select Patrick Mahomes in April's draft.
2017 Outlook: Goff was the first overall pick in last year's draft, but he sure didn't look the part during the seven games he appeared in as a rookie. The Cal product completed 55 percent of his passes (third lowest), was off target 19.5 percent of the time (eighth worst) and averaged a brutal 5.3 yards per attempt (worst). That doesn't paint a pretty picture, but it's also not a death sentence (Derek Carr posted similar numbers as a rookie in 2014). There's still reason for optimism here, as Goff is only 22 years old, but considering Los Angeles' shaky offensive line and unproven group of receivers, it may take some time for him to emerge. Goff is well off the 2017 fantasy radar.
2017 Outlook: Replacing future Hall of Famer Peyton Manning is no easy task, but Siemian held down the fort about as well as could be expected for a seventh-round pick entering his second season. Siemian completed only 59 percent of his passes (ninth lowest), but his 8.8 average depth of throw was 11th highest. He tossed 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Siemian didn't sport much fantasy appeal (three top-10 weeks) and will need to fend off 2016 first-round pick Paxton Lynch in order to retain Denver's starting gig this season.
2017 Outlook: The Texans addressed their quarterback woes by trading up and selecting Watson in April's draft. Watson was the man under center for the 2016 national champion Clemson Tigers. He's only 21 years old and stands 6-foot-2, 221 pounds. Watson is an outstanding athlete and sports terrific arm strength, but accuracy is a concern. He tossed 41 touchdowns and ran for nine more last season, but he was picked off 17 times. Watson adds a ton of value with his legs and has a ton of pedigree and upside. With only Tom Savage in his way, Watson is the best bet among rookie passers to start Week 1. He's a sneaky bet for early QB2 value.
2017 Outlook: The Bears signed Glennon to a three-year, $45 million contract and hope that he'll provide a competent bridge to Mitch Trubisky, whom they selected second overall in April's draft. Glennon was busy during his first two seasons in the league, but has played just 14 snaps (all last season) since the Bucs selected Jameis Winston in the 2015 draft. Glennon has a solid 29-to-15 TD/INT mark in his career and his poor 6.5 yards per attempt can be traced to his teammates averaging a league-low 3.5 yards after the catch in both 2013 and 2014. Even if Glennon is a capable starter, his most likely outcome is that of a game manager in a run-first, low-volume offense.