2018 Outlook: Traded to San Francisco just before the 2017 deadline, Garoppolo didn't make his first 49ers start until Week 13. He played very well from that point forward and fits the bill as a player positioned for a major step forward in 2018. The 2014 second-round pick completed 118 of 176 attempts (67 percent) for 1,542 yards (8.8 YPC), six touchdowns and five interceptions in his five starts. Despite the poor TD:INT ratio, Garoppolo sat eighth at the position in fantasy points in that span. Garoppolo won't add much with his legs, which might limit his ceiling, but his terrific early-career efficiency suggests that he could be emerging as a star. That's enough to make him well worth a mid-round draft pick.
2018 Outlook: Mariota now has three seasons and 42 regular-season games under his belt, but he has yet to emerge as a consistent and reliable fantasy quarterback. The 2015 second overall pick has missed at least one game due to injury in each of his three seasons in the league and has yet to finish a season better than 13th at the position in fantasy points. Mariota finished 19th last season after throwing 13 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Mariota is an aggressive passer (his 2017 9.0 average depth of throw was actually a career low) and adds points with his legs (661 rushing yards and seven touchdowns during the past two seasons), so there's still some hope for a big fantasy splash in 2018. Target him late as a post-hype flier.
2018 Outlook: A gem find in the fourth round of the 2016 draft, Prescott burst onto the fantasy scene with 29 all-purpose touchdowns and a sixth-place fantasy finish as a rookie. He appeared to be well on his way to another productive season in the first half of 2017, posting seven top-12 fantasy weeks in his first eight games. The wheels fell off when Ezekiel Elliott began his suspension in Week 10. Prescott posted one weekly finish better than 16th the rest of the way. Prescott's efficiency dipped across the board in his second season, but he still threw the ball relatively well and increased his production as a rusher. Prescott's upside is limited by a pedestrian supporting cast and Dallas' run-heavy scheme, but he's good enough to flirt with QB1 numbers again in 2018.
2018 Outlook: Ryan exploded for a career-best season in 2016 and, though he was a no-brainer regression-to-the-mean candidate last season, the fall was much farther than expected. Ryan's pass attempts dropped by only five, but his passing yards fell by 849 and his touchdowns by 18. Fantasy's No. 2 quarterback in 2016 finished 15th in 2017, and his lone weekly fantasy finish better than 10th came in Week 17. Aside from 2016, Ryan has never finished a season better than seventh in fantasy points, and he has finished 15th or worse in three of the past five seasons. In other words, Ryan's 2017 campaign was closer to his norm, and we shouldn't be counting on a big bounce-back to 2016-level production. Ryan is best viewed as a mid-pack QB2.
2018 Outlook: During seven games as a rookie in 2016, Goff threw five touchdowns and seven interceptions while completing 55 percent of his attempts. In 15 games last season, Goff posted a 28-to-7 TD-to-INT mark and completed 62 percent of his throws. That's called a second-year leap! Goff's volume was limited by the fact that the Rams were leading during an NFL-high 52 percent of their offensive snaps, but he still finished 10th in passing yards (3,804) and fifth in touchdowns. Goff's fantasy upside is limited, as he offers very little with his legs (51 yards on 28 carries last season), but with coach Sean McVay running the offense, Goff won't be short on passing production. He's positioned for solid QB2 production.
2018 Outlook: Trubisky was the second overall pick in the 2017 draft, and it didn't take him long to overtake Mike Glennon as the Bears' starting quarterback. Trubisky appeared in 12 games, completing 59 percent of his throws while accounting for nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. Trubisky struggled with accuracy (20 percent off-target rate), took a lot of sacks (31), struggled with fumbles (10) and wasn't close to being fantasy relevant (two weekly finishes better than 14th). Of course, he had one of the league's worst supporting casts in a bland, run-heavy offense. Chicago brought in creative, pass-first head coach Matt Nagy and added Allen Robinson, Anthony Miller, Taylor Gabriel and Trey Burton to Trubisky's arsenal during the offseason. The second-year QB is a candidate for a big leap forward and thus is a strong late-round flier.
2018 Outlook: Taylor takes over as the Browns' starter after three years running the show in Buffalo. Though he ranked 20th in passing yards during his Buffalo tenure, Taylor is elite at protecting the football and adding points with his legs. Over the past three seasons, his 1.29 percent interception rate trails only Tom Brady for best in the NFL, and his 283 carries for 1,575 yards and 14 touchdowns rank second to Cam Newton. A sneaky fantasy option at times, he was sixth at the position in fantasy points per game in 2015 and seventh in 2016. Behind a good line and with Josh Gordon, Jarvis Landry, Duke Johnson Jr. and David Njoku, Taylor could surprise with fringe QB1 numbers early on, but first-overall pick Baker Mayfield's inevitable promotion looms large.
2018 Outlook: Since finishing sixth among quarterbacks in fantasy points in 2013, Dalton has failed to post a campaign better than 12th. That includes a 17th-place finish last season in what was arguably Dalton's worst campaign since his rookie year. In fact, his 60 percent completion rate and 6.7 yards per attempt were his lowest marks since that 2011 campaign. Dalton also posted a career-low 99 rushing yards and didn't rush for a score for the first time in his seven seasons. With A.J. Green, Joe Mixon and potentially Tyler Eifert and John Ross, Dalton's supporting cast includes some serious talent, but a shaky offensive line and consistent QB2 production suggest he's not worth much attention in fantasy drafts.
2018 Outlook: After throwing 60 touchdowns and 19 interceptions during the 2015 and 2016 seasons, it appeared Carr -- a second-round pick in 2014 -- was well on his way to emerging as one of the game's top passers. The wheels fell off in 2017, as Carr posted a 22-to-13 TD-to-INT mark while falling off in nearly all efficiency categories. Carr managed only three fantasy weeks better than 15th, including none after Week 7. Despite his occasional success, Carr has yet to post a top-10 fantasy campaign. Carr's 2018 supporting cast isn't particularly exciting and Oakland appears to be turning to a run-heavy approach under new coach Jon Gruden. Carr is best viewed as a back-end QB2.
2018 Outlook: Keenum takes over as the starter in Denver after a career-best season in 2017, when he completed 68 percent of his 481 attempts for 3,547 yards, 22 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Keenum's completion percentage trailed only Drew Brees (72 percent) for best in the league, and he was charted as off-target 14 percent of the time, which was third best (Drew Brees, Carson Palmer). Keenum posted the eighth-most fantasy points during the 14 weeks he was on the field for at least 90 percent of the pass plays. For all intents and purposes, Keenum was a fringe QB1. His supporting cast isn't quite as good in Denver, but he will have Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders at his disposal. Keenum should be viewed as a back-end QB2.
2018 Outlook: The Jaguars' franchise turned a corner last season, but the new run-first mentality and second-half leads led to smaller role for Bortles. The No. 4 fantasy quarterback in 2015 fell to eighth in 2016 and 13th last season. For the first time since his rookie season, Bortles fell outside the top 10 in pass attempts and completions. He does make up some ground with his legs, as he has managed at least 310 rushing yards in each of his four seasons and has seven rushing scores during the past three seasons. With Donte Moncrief, Austin Seferian-Jenkins and star guard Andrew Norwell added to the mix, Bortles' supporting cast is better, but his underwhelming efficiency and the team's run-first scheme make him no more than a low-ceiling QB2.
2018 Outlook: Tannehill returns as Miami's starting quarterback after missing the entire 2017 season with a torn ACL. A first-round pick back in 2012, Tannehill has posted only one fantasy season better than 16th (an eighth-place finish in 2014). Tannehill is a conservative, but accurate passer. Tannehill's 14.3 off-target rate from 2014 to 2016 was fourth-best at the position. Safety net Jarvis Landry is gone, which means Tannehill's primary 2018 weapons will be DeVante Parker, Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson. Miami has struggled to score points during the Tannehill era (and even more so during the Adam Gase era), so Tannehill isn't worth much attention on draft day.
2018 Outlook: Believe it or not, the Giants rank 30th in the NFL in points per game over the past two seasons. A healthier roster and new coach Pat Shurmur may help, but Manning's struggles can't be overlooked. The 37-year-old passer enters this season after a rough 2017 campaign during which he managed a career-worst 6.1 yards per attempt while posting a conservative 7.3 average depth of throw. Though he was benched for one game, Manning finished outside the top 20 fantasy quarterbacks for the second consecutive year and the third time in five seasons. Incredibly, despite missing one game, Manning has posted one top-10 fantasy campaign during the past 12 years. Even with Odell Beckham Jr. back, Manning is a poor fantasy option.
2018 Outlook: Bradford is now in Arizona after appearing in 80 games during the past eight seasons with the Rams, Eagles and Vikings. Replacing Carson Palmer, who retired, Bradford plays a super-conservative game, as shown by his 7.3 career average depth of throw, which is higher than only Alex Smith among passers with 600-plus attempts since 2010. As a result, Bradford hasn't managed much fantasy production; his best finish was 16th in 2012. Durability is also a massive concern, as Bradford has managed 16-game seasons only twice during his career (2010 and 2012). Bradford's top targets ' David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald ' are strong, but depth is severely lacking and first-round pick Josh Rosen figures to be promoted quickly. There's little upside here.
2018 Outlook: Flacco may be a Super Bowl MVP, but he simply isn't close to a valuable fantasy quarterback. Despite missing only six games in 10 seasons, the 33-year-old has never posted a fantasy season better than 10th and has finished 20th or worse each of the past three years. Flacco's 5.72 yards per attempt last season was the NFL's ninth-worst single-season mark of the past decade. Flacco's supporting cast is much-improved from last season, but not to the extent that he's in the QB1 discussion. Flacco should go undrafted in most leagues.