2018 Outlook: What else is there to say about Brown? He has finished as the top-scoring fantasy wide receiver each of the past four seasons and was top-five the prior two campaigns. In 2017, Brown missed two games and half of another but still ranked in the top five at the position in targets, receptions and receiving yards for the fourth consecutive season. Brown turns 30 this year, but he has shown no signs of slowing down and posted a career-high 13.6 aDOT last season. Brown should be selected early in the first round of your draft and, despite the resurgence of the running back position, is a fine target first overall.
2018 Outlook: Despite ranking second in receiving yards (1,444) and seventh in fantasy points among wide receivers last season, Jones was considered, by many, to be a disappointment. The reason? As usual, touchdowns. Jones found paydirt only three times and has failed to eclipse six touchdowns in four of the past five seasons. Although a lack of opportunity was an issue in recent years, it wasn't in 2017. Jones ranked seventh in end zone targets (16) and fourth in OTD (8.6). Jones has finished as a top-seven fantasy WR each of the past four campaigns, and logic suggests he'll score more touchdowns in 2018. He remains an elite fantasy asset.
2018 Outlook: Hopkins' roller-coaster fantasy production continued last season, as he posted his second top-five campaign in three years after finishing 27th in 2016. Hopkins paced all wide receivers in targets (172), touchdown receptions (13) and OTD (9.6) while finishing only a half-point behind Antonio Brown for the most fantasy points at the position last season. Hopkins is averaging a massive 10.1 targets per game the past four seasons. He gets a boost via the return of Deshaun Watson; Hopkins posted a 38-551-6 line and was fantasy's top-scoring wideout by 16 points during Watson's six starts as a rookie. Hopkins should be off the board in the middle of the first round.
2018 Outlook: Beckham might be one of the league's most polarizing players, but he's nothing short of dominant when he's on the field. Beckham was a top-seven fantasy WR each of his first three NFL seasons and ranked fourth during the four games for which he was active in 2017. Beckham has scored 38 touchdowns in 47 games, ranking in the top five at the position in his first three pro seasons. Durability has become somewhat of a concern, as Beckham has now missed at least one game in three of his four seasons, including 12 games due to multiple ankle injuries last season. Eli Manning's struggles are a concern, but the 25-year-old Beckham is now healthy and one of the game's best players. He's a fringe top-five fantasy WR with elite overall upside.
2018 Outlook: After missing 23 games due to injury in the 2015 and 2016 seasons, Allen finally put together his first 16-game campaign in 2017. The 2013 third-round pick was nothing short of dominant, ranking in the top five at the position in targets (153), receptions (102) and receiving yards (1,393). Allen was limited to six touchdowns, though his 7.8 OTD, as well as his 6-foot-2 frame, suggest there's an opportunity for more in that department. Allen is still only 26 years old and Philip Rivers' top target in an offense that always scores most of its touchdowns through the air. He's a solid WR1.
2018 Outlook: Believe it or not, Antonio Brown is the only wide receiver with more fantasy points than Thomas since the Ohio State product was selected in the second round of the 2016 draft. Thomas ranked in the top 10 at the position in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns both seasons. His 28 percent target share was a massive and rare figure for a receiver in a Drew Brees-led offense. After scoring nine touchdowns as a rookie (5.2 OTD), Thomas was limited to five scores in 2017 (5.2 OTD). The lack of usage near the goal line is of slight concern (especially in non-PPR), but with Brees in the house, Thomas' high volume and efficiency will allow him high-end fantasy production.
2018 Outlook: Green always seems to be overshadowed by other top wideouts, but he has finished as a top-10 fantasy WR in four of the past six seasons, ranking in the top 12 in fantasy points per snap during the two campaigns in which he missed a combined nine games. Last season, despite the Bengals' offensive woes, Green ranked top-12 in all of the important receiving counting stats, including targets (139), receptions (75), receiving yards (1,078), touchdowns (8) and end zone targets (14). Green has averaged 9.6 targets per game during his seven-season career, and there's no sign that he's slowing down as he enters his age-30 season. Target him in the second round.
2018 Outlook: Over the past two NFL seasons, no one has caught more touchdowns than Adams. The 2014 second-round pick managed only four scores during his first two NFL seasons, but he has exploded for 22 in the past two campaigns. Adams has yet to finish a season among the top-20 wide receivers in yardage, but playing in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense has led to inflated touchdown totals and a pair of top-10 fantasy campaigns. With Rodgers back healthy and Jordy Nelson out of the mix, Adams is the team's clear No. 1 receiver and a strong candidate to lead the NFL in touchdown catches. He's a solid WR1 target and has even more value in non-PPR.
2018 Outlook: Evans has been one of the league's most intimidating wide receivers since entering the league in 2014, but believe it or not, he has posted only one top-12 fantasy campaign. Evans' volatile touchdown production has been a big factor; he caught 12 touchdowns in both 2014 and 2016 but was limited to three in 2015 and five last season. The good news is that Evans is 6-foot-5 and paces the league with 73 end zone targets since entering the league, so touchdowns shouldn't be much of an issue moving forward. Evans is a candidate for an even better season with a healthy Jameis Winston under center. Consider him a fringe WR1 with slightly more value in non-PPR.
2018 Outlook: Thielen came out of nowhere for a bit of a mini-breakout by posting a 69-967-5 line during the 2016 season. Perhaps we should've paid closer attention to his top-seven finish at the position in catch rate (74 percent) and yards per target (10.4) because Thielen certainly took his game to another level in 2017. Minnesota's top receiver most of the season, Thielen ranked in the top 10 at the position in targets (138), receptions (91) and receiving yards (1,276), which resulted in a ninth-place finish in fantasy. Touchdowns have eluded Thielen (nine the past two seasons), but his hefty usage and the team's quarterback upgrade to Kirk Cousins keep him in the WR1 discussion.
2018 Outlook: After mulling retirement, Fitzgerald will return for his 15th season. The future Hall of Famer handled a 29 percent target share last season ' his highest since 2011 (30 percent) ' and was on the field for 98 percent of Arizona's pass plays ' his highest since 2012 (99 percent). Fitzgerald trailed only DeAndre Hopkins in targets en route to his third-consecutive top-11 fantasy season. Arizona made a change at head coach and quarterback, but with conservative Sam Bradford (and eventually Josh Rosen) under center and a shaky/unproven group of receivers behind him, Fitzgerald will be massively involved again in 2018. He's a fringe top-10 WR.
2018 Outlook: One year after pacing the NFL with 1,448 receiving yards and posting a career-best fifth-place finish in fantasy points, Hilton fell under 1,000 yards for the first time since 2012 and matched his worst fantasy season (27th). The reason for the deep dip was, of course, Andrew Luck's season-long injury. Hilton was still his explosive self, ranking fifth at the position with a 16.9 YPR and posting a trio of 150-plus yard games. Luck is expected to be back in 2018, and assuming that's the case, the 28-year-old Hilton is right back in the WR1 discussion.
2018 Outlook: Baldwin has finished each of the past three seasons as a top-13 fantasy wide receiver. The reason? Heavy and consistent target volume. Baldwin's target shares during those three seasons are as follows: 22, 24 and 22 percent. His 29 touchdown receptions during the span trail only that of Antonio Brown (31) for most in the NFL. Seattle is in a bit of a transition period, but the offense has evolved into a pass-first unit and, especially with Jimmy Graham gone, Baldwin is the team's clear top target. The connection between Russell Wilson and Baldwin shouldn't change in 2018, providing the 29-year-old with WR3 value.
2018 Outlook: Diggs posted the best fantasy campaign of his career last season (19th), and he has finished in the top 15 in fantasy points per game each of the past two seasons. Diggs set career highs in receptions (84) and receiving yards (903) in 2016 and more than doubled his career touchdown total by finding the end zone eight times in 2017. Diggs has been a strong fantasy asset when healthy, but durability has been a big issue. The 2015 fifth-round pick has missed a total of eight games, including at least two in each of his three seasons. Diggs is only 24 years old, is loaded with talent, sees plenty of volume and has a better quarterback in Kirk Cousins this season. He's a strong WR2 target.
2018 Outlook: Hill exploded onto the fantasy scene as a fifth-round pick in 2016, scoring 12 all-purpose touchdowns (nine of which came on 83 offensive touches). His unsustainable scoring rate and 185-pound frame raised questions about his ability to handle more volume in 2017. Hill quieted his critics in short order, ranking in the top 11 at the position in receptions (75) and receiving yards (1,183). Hill scored eight all-purpose touchdowns and finished eighth at the position in fantasy points (third in fantasy points per snap). Kansas City's quarterback change and addition of Sammy Watkins are notable, but the combination of Hill's explosive playmaking ability and Patrick Mahomes' huge arm should allow top-15 fantasy production.